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The Alternatives 1 and 2 in the Following Payoff Table  States of nature \text { States of nature }

question 25

Essay

The alternatives 1 and 2 in the following payoff table represent the two possible manufacturing strategies that the EKA manufacturing company can adopt.The level of demand affects the success of both strategies.The states of nature (Si,i = 1,2,3)represent the levels of demand for the company products.S1,S2 and S3 characterize high,medium,and low demand,respectively.The payoff values are in thousands of dollars.  States of nature \text { States of nature }
 Alternatives s1s2s3 Strategy 1 1108070 Strategy 2 6012050\begin{array} { | l | r | r | r | } \hline \text { Alternatives } & \mathbf { s } _ { \mathbf { 1 } } & \mathbf { s } _ { \mathbf { 2 } } & \mathbf { s } _ { \mathbf { 3 } } \\\hline \text { Strategy 1 } & 110 & 80 & 70 \\\hline \text { Strategy 2 } & 60 & 120 & 50 \\\hline\end{array} The management believes that the weather conditions significantly affect the level of demand.48 monthly sales reports are randomly selected.These monthly sales reports showed 15 months with high demand,28 months with medium demand,and 5 months with low demand.12 of the 15 months with high demand had favourable weather conditions.14 of the 28 months with medium demand had favourable weather conditions.Only 1 of the 5 months with low demand had favourable weather conditions.
-If the weather conditions are favourable,determine which manufacturing strategy the company should implement?


Definitions:

Short-Term Memory

The capacity for holding, but not manipulating, a small amount of information in an active, readily available state for a short period of time.

George Miller

A cognitive psychologist best known for his work on the capacity of human memory and the theory that short-term memory is limited to about seven items.

Cowan

A surname of likely British origin, but without a clear definition of its significance in a specific field without further context.

Dual-Coding Theory

A theory of cognition proposing that visual and verbal information are processed differently and along distinct channels in the human mind, enhancing learning.

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