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Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing.The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000.Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike.If the test-marketing phase is successful,then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.If the test marketing is not successful,Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant,but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000.Kinston's cost of capital is 10%.
-Assuming that Kinston has the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000,draw a decision tree detailing the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project.

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Definitions:

Verbal Comprehension

The ability to understand words, sentences, and texts; often assessed in psychological testing as an aspect of cognitive ability.

Expressional Fluency

A measure of an individual's ability to swiftly find words and articulate ideas effectively.

Associative Memory

A form of memory that links related information, allowing the recall of an associated item when a related cue is presented.

Memory Scanning

The mental process of searching through stored information in memory to find a specific piece of data.

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