Consider the following list of projects:
You are given a budget of only $1,800,000 to invest in projects.Which projects will you select,in what order will you select them,and why?
Definitions:
Hindsight Bias
The inclination to think, upon discovering a result, that it was predictable in hindsight, referred to as the "knew-it-all-along" effect.
Psychological Theories
Frameworks for understanding mental processes and behavior through systematized concepts and propositions.
Common Sense
Practical judgment concerning everyday matters, or a basic ability to perceive, understand, and judge that is shared by ("common to") nearly all people.
Overconfidence
The condition of having excessive confidence or belief in one's own abilities, often more than is objectively warranted.
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