A Person Is Trying to Decide If They Should Buy

question 72

Essay

A person is trying to decide if they should buy a lottery ticket. The ticket costs $1.00. If the ticket is a winner, the prize would be $10,000. Knowing that winning $10,000 is not a certain outcome (state of nature), the person finds that the probability of winning is 0.0009. Based on this information, the following payoff table can be constructed. What is the probability of losing $1.00?

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Definitions:

Pariah

An individual who is despised or avoided by others, often due to being outcast from their social group.

Fundamental Attribution Errors

A cognitive bias where people are more likely to attribute another’s actions to their character or disposition rather than to external factors.

Internal Attribution Biases

The tendency to attribute one's successes to internal factors and failures to external factors, often underestimating situational influences.

Social Facilitation

The tendency for an individual to perform differently, usually better, in the presence of others than when alone.