A Person Is Trying to Decide If They Should Buy

question 109

Essay

A person is trying to decide if they should buy a lottery ticket. The ticket costs $1.00. If the ticket is a winner, the prize would be $10,000. Knowing that winning $10,000 is not a certain outcome (state of nature), the person finds that the probability of winning is 0.0009. Based on this information, the following payoff table can be constructed. What is the decision using a maximax or optimistic approach?

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Definitions:

Payback Period

The length of time it takes for an investment to generate cash flows sufficient to recover its initial cost.

Payback Period

The length of time it takes for an investment to recover its initial outlay in terms of profits or savings, used as a measure of investment risk.

Cash Operating Expenses

Costs directly associated with the operation of a business that require cash payment, excluding non-cash expenses such as depreciation.

Simple Rate

A term not commonly used in a standard context, possibly referring to a basic interest rate in financial terms.