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An Automobile Manufacturer Must Make an Immediate Decision on the Car

question 51

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An automobile manufacturer must make an immediate decision on the car size that should account for the majority of the firm's production two years from now.The firm perceives three possible states of nature at that time: S1,gasoline will be rationed;S2,gasoline will be readily available at close to current prices;and S3,gasoline will be readily available,but at much higher prices.The firm has determined the following profit payoff table (in $1,000s).
An automobile manufacturer must make an immediate decision on the car size that should account for the majority of the firm's production two years from now.The firm perceives three possible states of nature at that time: S1,gasoline will be rationed;S2,gasoline will be readily available at close to current prices;and S3,gasoline will be readily available,but at much higher prices.The firm has determined the following profit payoff table (in $1,000s).     a.An economist at the auto company has advised the firm that the probabilities of the states of nature are P(S<sub>1</sub>)= .2,P(S<sub>2</sub>)= .5,and P(S<sub>3</sub>)= .3.Find the expected monetary value for the three decisions. b.Which decision should be chosen under the expected monetary value criterion? c.Determine the expected value of perfect information.
a.An economist at the auto company has advised the firm that the probabilities of the states of nature are P(S1)= .2,P(S2)= .5,and P(S3)= .3.Find the expected monetary value for the three decisions.
b.Which decision should be chosen under the expected monetary value criterion?
c.Determine the expected value of perfect information.


Definitions:

Nature Of Position

The inherent characteristics, duties, and responsibilities attached to a specific job or role within an organization.

Type Of Organization

Refers to the classification of organizations based on their purposes, structures, and operations, such as nonprofit, for-profit, governmental, or voluntary.

Culture Of The Organization

The shared beliefs, values, norms, and practices that shape the social and psychological environment of a business or institution.

International Culture

The diverse set of customs, traditions, beliefs, and values that exist within and between countries.

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