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In Estimating the Original Relationship Between Money Wage Growth and the Unemployment

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Essay

In estimating the original relationship between money wage growth and the unemployment rate, Phillips used United Kingdom data from 1861 to 1913 to fit a curve of the following functional form
( W˙W\frac { \dot { W } } { W } + β0)= β1 × urβ2ur \beta _ { 2 } × eu,
where W˙W\frac { \dot { W } } { W } is the percentage change in money wages and ur is the unemployment rate. Sketch the function. What role does β0 play? Can you find a linear transformation that allows you to estimate the above function using OLS? If, after taking logarithms on both sides of the equation, you tried to estimate β1 and β2 using OLS by choosing different values for β0 by "trial and error procedure" (Phillips's words), what sort of problem might you run into with the left-hand side variable for some of the observations?


Definitions:

Delta Rhythm

The rhythmic pattern in the brain’s electrical activity often observed when a person is in slow wave sleep.

Slowed Heart Rate

A reduction in the speed at which the heart beats, formally known as bradycardia, which can be a result of various situations or conditions.

EEG Recording

An EEG Recording refers to the process of measuring electrical activity in the brain using electrodes placed on the scalp, often used in the diagnosis of neurological conditions and the study of brain functions.

REM Sleep Episodes

Periods during sleep characterized by rapid eye movement, during which dreaming often occurs and brain activity resembles that of being awake.

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