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(Requires some calculus)In the following, assume that Xt is strictly exogenous and that economic theory suggests that, in equilibrium, the following relationship holds between Y* and Xt, where the "*" indicates equilibrium.
Y* = kXt
An error term could be added here by assuming that even in equilibrium, random variations from strict proportionality might occur. Next let there be adjustment costs when changing Y, e.g. costs associated with changes in employment for firms. As a result, an entity might be faced with two types of costs: being out of equilibrium and the adjustment cost. Assume that these costs can be modeled by the following quadratic loss function:
L = λ1(Yt - Y*)2 + λ1(Yt - Yt-1)2
a. Minimize the loss function w.r.t. the only variable that is under the entity's control, Yt and solve for Yt.
b. Note that the two weights on Y* and Yt-1 add up to one. To simplify notation, let the first weight be θ and the second weight (1-θ). Substitute the original expression for Y* into this equation. In terms of the ADL(p,q)terminology, what are the values for p and q in this model?
Morningstar's RAR
Refers to Morningstar's Risk-Adjusted Return, a calculation used to evaluate the performance of an investment by adjusting for its risk.
Performance Measures
Criteria or metrics used to assess, compare, and track the efficiency, effectiveness, or success of an investment or business operation.
Sharpe Measure
The Sharpe Measure assesses the risk-adjusted return of an investment, comparing its excess return over the risk-free rate to its standard deviation of returns.
Standard Deviation
A measure of the dispersion or variability of a set of values, used in finance to gauge the risk associated with an investment's return.
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