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The Average Annual Return Over the Period 1886-2006 for Stocks

question 15

Multiple Choice

The average annual return over the period 1886-2006 for stocks that comprise the S&P 500 is 12%,and the standard deviation of returns is 20%.Based on these numbers what is a 95% confidence interval for 2007 returns?


Definitions:

Milgram Experiment

A psychological experiment conducted by Stanley Milgram in the 1960s to study obedience to authority, where participants were instructed to administer electric shocks to another person.

Stanford University Prison Experiment

A psychological study conducted by Philip Zimbardo in 1971 at Stanford University, where students were assigned roles of prisoners and guards to explore the effects of perceived power.

Generalization

Drawing a conclusion about a certain characteristic of a population based on a sample from it.

Logical Support

The provision of reasons or evidence to justify a claim or argument.

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