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Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a Linear Probability Model You

question 63

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Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt ratio and the profit margin.Based on past bankruptcy experience,the linear probability model is estimated as:
PDi = 0.20 (debt ratio) + 0.50 (profit margin)
You know a particular firm has a debt ratio of 60 percent and a probability of default of 15 percent.Calculate the firm's profit margin.


Definitions:

Mark-Up Percentage

A fraction applied to the original purchase price to encompass both overhead expenses and profit.

Material Charge

The cost associated with acquiring materials that are directly used in the production of goods or services.

Direct Cost

Costs that are directly attributable to the production of goods or services, such as labor and materials.

Variable Manufacturing Costs

Costs that vary directly with the level of production output, such as raw materials, labor, and energy consumption.

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