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Calculating the Probability of Bankruptcy a Linear Probability Model You

question 15

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Calculating the Probability of Bankruptcy A linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt-to-equity ratio and the profit margin.Based on past bankruptcy experience,the linear probability model is estimated as:
PDi = 0.02 (debt/equity) + 0.80 (profit margin)
A firm you are thinking of lending to has a debt-to-equity ratio of 110 percent and its expected probability of default,or bankruptcy,is estimated to be 8 percent.If sales are $2 million,calculate the firm's net income.


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