Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a Linear Probability Model You

question 99

Multiple Choice

Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt ratio and the profit margin.Based on past bankruptcy experience,the linear probability model is estimated as:
PD_i = 0.25 (debt ratio) + 0.12 (profit margin)
A firm you are thinking of lending to has a debt ratio of 62 percent and a profit margin of 14 percent.Calculate the firm's expected probability of default,or bankruptcy.

• A)17.18 percent
• B)2.604 percent
• C)14.99 percent
• D)19.09 percent

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Definitions:

Provided Data

Information or statistics made available or given to support analysis, decision-making, or reporting.

Return on Total Assets

A financial ratio that measures the profitability of a company in relation to its total assets, indicating how efficiently a company is using its assets to generate profit.

Beginning Balance

The amount of money or value of assets in an account at the start of a new financial period, serving as the initial point for accounting calculations.

Current Ratio

A financial ratio indicating how well a company can meet its short-term debts using its existing assets.