Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a Linear Probability Model You

question 54

Multiple Choice

Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt ratio and the profit margin.Based on past bankruptcy experience,the linear probability model is estimated as:
PD_i = 0.18 (debt ratio) + 0.35 (profit margin)
You know a particular firm has a debt ratio of 35 percent and a probability of default of 8 percent.Calculate the firm's profit margin.

• A)4.857 percent
• B)8.163 percent
• C)6.53 percent
• D)8.00 percent

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Definitions:

Weak Form

The hypothesis that past stock prices and trading volume do not affect future stock prices, suggesting that technical analysis cannot predict future movements.

Efficient-Market Hypothesis

The theory that all available information is already reflected in stock prices, suggesting that it is impossible to consistently achieve higher returns than the overall market through expert stock selection or market timing.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume, to predict future price movements.

Support Level

A price level at which a security tends to stop declining because of an influx of buyer demand.