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Calculating the Probability of Bankruptcy a Linear Probability Model You

question 75

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Calculating the Probability of Bankruptcy A linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt-to-equity ratio and the sales-to-total assets ratio.Based on past bankruptcy experience,the linear probability model is estimated as:
PDi = 0.45 (debt/equity) + 0.01 (sales/total assets)
A firm you are thinking of lending to has a sales-to-assets ratio of 1.9 and its expected probability of default,or bankruptcy,is estimated to be 7 percent.Calculate the firm's debt ratio.


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