Use the Information for the Question(s)below

question 44

Essay

Use the information for the question(s)below.
Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing.The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000.Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike.If the test-marketing phase is successful,then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.If the test marketing is not successful,Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant,but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000.Kinston's cost of capital is 10%.
-Assume that Kinston has the ability to ignore the pilot production and test marketing and to go ahead and build their manufacturing plant immediately.Further assume that the probability of high or low demand is still 50%.Draw a decision tree that details Kinston Industries Mountain Bike project if Kinston goes ahead and builds the plant immediately.

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Definitions:

Concentrated Benefits

Benefits that accrue to a small, specific group within society, often at the expense of the general public.

Operational Efficiency

The capability of an organization to minimize waste and cost while maximizing output and quality in its operations.

Government Agencies

Entities established by a government to perform specific functions or provide services in various sectors such as health, education, and defense.

Rent-seeking Activity

Efforts to increase one's share of existing wealth without creating new wealth, often through lobbying or corruption to secure government interventions.