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If managed effectively,Rearden Metal will have assets with a market value of $200 million,$300 million,or $400 million next year,with each outcome being equally likely.Managers,however,may decide to engage in wasteful empire building,which will reduce Rearden's market value by $20 million in all cases.Managers may also increase the risk of the firm,changing the probability of each outcome to 50%,5%,and 45% respectively.
-Suppose that the managers at Rearden Metal will engage in empire building unless that behavior increases the likelihood of bankruptcy.If Rearden has $180 million in debt due in one year,then the expected value of Rearden's assets is closest to:
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