Use the Information for the Question(s)below

question 50

Essay

Use the information for the question(s)below.
Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing.The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000.Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike.If the test-marketing phase is successful,then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.If the test marketing is not successful,Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant,but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000.Kinston's cost of capital is 10%.
-Assuming that Kinston does not have the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000,draw a decision tree detailing the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project.

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Definitions:

Creativity

The capability to produce or identify concepts, options, or opportunities that can aid in resolving issues, engaging in communication with people, and providing amusement to both ourselves and others.

Low Tolerance

A reduced capacity or willingness to accept deviations from a standard or to endure difficult conditions or treatment.

Internal Locus

This concept describes individuals who believe they have control over their life events and outcomes, as opposed to being controlled by external factors.