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Big Cure and Little Cure are both pharmaceutical companies. Big Cure presently has a potential 'blockbuster' drug before the Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) waiting for approval. If approved, Big Cure's blockbuster drug will produce $1 billion in net income for Big Cure. Little Cure has 10 separate, less important drugs before the TGA waiting for approval. If approved, each of Little Cure's drugs would produce $100 million in net income for Little Cure. The probability of the TGA approving a drug is 50%.
-What is the expected payoff for Big Cure's blockbuster drug?
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