Which of the Following Predictions Cannot Be Described by a Binary

question 31

Multiple Choice

Which of the following predictions cannot be described by a binary choice model?

• A) Predict the ability to swim through the English Channel.
• B) Predict the chances of a candidate winning the next presidential election.
• C) Predict today's number of cars crossing the Golden Gate Bridge.
• D) Predict the occurrence of a hurricane in Florida next year.

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Definitions:

Availability Heuristic

The tendency to judge the frequency or likelihood of an event by the ease with which relevant instances come to mind

Correspondence Bias

The tendency to attribute a person's behavior to their disposition or personality while underestimating situational influences.

Simulation Heuristic

The tendency to judge the frequency or likelihood of an event by the ease with which you can imagine (or mentally simulate) it.

Representativeness Heuristic

The tendency to judge the frequency or likelihood of an event by the extent to which it resembles the typical case.