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Quarterly sales of a department store for the last seven years are given in the following table.
The scatterplot shows that the quarterly sales have an increasing trend and seasonality. A linear regression model given by Sales = β0 + β1Qtr1 + β2Qtr2 + β3Qtr3 + β4t + ε, where t is the time period (t = 1, ..., 28) and Qtr1, Qtr2, and Qtr3 are quarter dummies, is estimated and then used to make forecasts. For the regression model, the following partial output is available.
Using the regression equation for the linear trend model with seasonal dummy variables, what can be said about the sales in Quarter 4 compared to the sales in Quarter 1?
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