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Tammy Welsh has two investment options to choose from. The stocks of both ABC Inc. and XYZ Corp. are currently trading at $200. ABC Inc. is paying a dividend of $10, and is expected to trade at $215 in a year's time. XYZ Corp. is paying a higher dividend of $25. However, the price of XYZ's stock is only expected to go up to $203 a year from now. Experts are estimating inflation to be about 2% in a year's time.
A) In which stock should Tammy invest and why?
B) If the expected inflation rate was revised to 2.5%, would it alter Tammy's choice? Explain your answer.
Hindsight Bias
The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it.
Availability Heuristic
A cognitive bias that causes people to overestimate the likelihood of events based on their ability to recall examples more easily.
Confirmation Bias
The habit of looking for, comprehending, selecting, and reminiscing about information that validates an individual's prior convictions or theories.
Hindsight Bias
The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it, also known as the "knew-it-all-along" effect.
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