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Your Firm Is Considering a Project with a Five-Year Life

question 96

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Your firm is considering a project with a five-year life and an initial cost of $120,000. The discount rate for the project is 12%. The firm expects to sell 2,100 units a year. The cash flow per unit is $20. The firm will have the option to abandon this project after three years at which time it expects it could sell the project for $50,000. You are interested in knowing how the project will perform if the sales forecasts for years four and five of the project are revised such that there is a 50% chance that the sales will be either 1,400 or 2,500 units a year. What is the net present value of this project given your sales forecasts?


Definitions:

Unsystematic Risk

The risk associated with a particular company or industry, as opposed to the market as a whole; also known as specific or idiosyncratic risk.

Market Level

The current status or position of prices, stocks, or commodities within a particular market.

Systematic Risk

Market-wide or market segment-specific dangers that cannot be eliminated by diversifying one's investment portfolio.

Beta

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility in relation to the overall market, indicating the stock's risk level compared to the market average.

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