Willy's Only Source of Wealth Is His Chocolate Factory

question 5

Multiple Choice

Willy's only source of wealth is his chocolate factory.He has the utility function pc^1/2_f + (1 - p) c^1/2_nf, where p is the probability of a flood, 1 - p is the probability of no flood, and c_f and c_nf are his wealth contingent on a flood and on no flood, respectively.The probability of a flood is p = 1/14.The value of Willy's factory is $400,000 if there is no flood and 0 if there is a flood.Willy can buy insurance where if he buys $x worth of insurance, he must pay the insurance company $5x/18 whether there is a flood or not, but he gets back $x from the company if there is a flood.Willy should buy

• A)enough insurance so that if there is a flood, after he collects his insurance, his wealth will be the same whether there is a flood or not.
• B)enough insurance so that if there is a flood, after he collects his insurance, his wealth will be 1/6 of what it would be if there is no flood.
• C)no insurance since the cost per dollar of insurance exceeds the probability of a flood.
• D)enough insurance so that if there is a flood, after he collects his insurance, his wealth will be 1/25 of what it would be if there is no flood.
• E)enough insurance so that if there is a flood, after he collects his insurance, his wealth will be 1/11 of what it would be if there is no flood.

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Definitions:

Fair-Minded

Having the ability to judge or consider something or someone in a just, impartial, and equitable manner.

Holistic Critical Thinking

A comprehensive analytical approach that combines different perspectives and aspects to assess and solve problems or make decisions.

Scoring Rubric

A set of criteria and standards used to systematically evaluate specific objectives or outcomes.

Give Reasons

The act of providing logical or rational explanations for actions, decisions, or beliefs.