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The Super Cola Company Must Decide Whether or Not to Introduce

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Essay

The Super Cola Company must decide whether or not to introduce a new diet soft drink. Management feels that if it does introduce the diet soda it will yield a profit of $1 million if sales are around 100 million, a profit of $200,000 if sales are around 50 million, or it will lose $2 million if sales are only around 1 million bottles. If Super Cola does not market the new diet soda, it will suffer a loss of $400,000.
a.
Construct a payoff table for this problem.
b.
Construct a regret table for this problem.
c.
Should Super Cola introduce the soda if the company: (1) is conservative; (2) is optimistic; (3) wants to minimize its maximum disappointment?
d.
An internal marketing research study has found P(100 million in sales) = 1/3; P(50 million in sales) = 1/2; P(1 million in sales) = 1/6. Should Super Cola introduce the new diet soda?
e.
A consulting firm can perform a more thorough study for $275,000. Should management have this study performed?


Definitions:

Apparent Authority

Apparent authority refers to a situation in which a person appears to be given power to act on behalf of another, thereby binding the principal through the agent's actions, even if the actual authority has not been granted.

Misrepresentation

The act of providing false or misleading information, intentionally or unintentionally, in a transaction.

Scope of Authority

The boundaries within which decisions can be made or actions can be taken by an agent as authorized by a principal.

Emergency Situation

A sudden, urgent, usually unexpected occurrence or condition that requires immediate action or assistance.

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