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When Calculating the Probability That a Project Will Finish by a Certain

question 63

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When calculating the probability that a project will finish by a certain time,the approximation that is obtained is usually lower than the true probability


Definitions:

Expected Opportunity Loss

The anticipated loss for not choosing the best possible option or course of action in decision-making processes.

Expected Monetary Value

A statistical technique in decision making used to calculate the average outcome when the future includes scenarios that may or may not happen.

Expected Value

The long-run average value of repetitions of the experiment it represents, often considered as the mean in probability.

Perfect Information

A situation in a game or economic model in which all participants know all the relevant details, including the actions and payoffs of all players.

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