The Head of Operations for a Movie Studio Wants to Determine

question 60

Multiple Choice

The head of operations for a movie studio wants to determine which of two new scripts they should select for their next major production.She feels that script #1 has a 70% chance of earning $100 million over the long run,but a 30% chance of losing $20 million.If this movie is successful,then a sequel could also be produced,with an 80% chance of earning $50 million,but a 20% chance of losing $10 million.On the other hand,she feels that script #2 has a 60 % chance of earning $120 million,but a 40% chance of losing $30 million.If successful,its sequel would have a 50% chance of earning $80 million and a 50% chance of losing $40 million.As with the first script,if the original movie is a "flop",then no sequel would be produced.
-What is the probability that script #1 will be a success,but its sequel will not?

• A)0 8
• B)0 7
• C)0 56
• D)0 2
• E)0 14

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Definitions:

Social Comparison

The process of evaluating oneself by comparison with others, which can influence self-esteem and personal development.

Sensitivity

The quality of being easily influenced, changed, or damaged, especially by external factors or conditions.

Industry

The sector of an economy involved in the production of goods and services.

Inferiority

A feeling of lower standing in relation to others, which can affect an individual's self-esteem and social interactions.