Examlex
Suppose a firm's CFO thinks that an externality is present in a project, but that it cannot be quantified with any precision⎯estimates of its effect would really just be guesses.In this case, the externality should be ignored⎯i.e., not considered at all⎯because if it were considered it would make the analysis appear more precise than it really is.
Availability
The ease with which a particular piece of information can be recalled from memory, often influenced by recent exposure or emotional impact.
Deductive Reasoning
A logical process where conclusions are drawn from a set of premises, starting with a general statement followed by specific instances.
Probabilistic Conclusions
Conclusions or inferences that are based on probabilities rather than certainties, often used in the context of decision-making under uncertainty.
Availability Heuristic
A mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to a person's mind when evaluating a specific topic, concept, method, or decision.
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