If Asked, "Which Is More Probable? A

question 268

Multiple Choice

If asked, "Which is more probable? A.Snowboarder Shaun White will not be in the lead after the first run of a halfpipe competition but will win the competition, or B.Snowboarder Shaun White will not be in the lead after the first run of a halfpipe competition." Most people would answer A, although A is less likely to be true than B.According to Tversky and Kahneman, such faulty conclusions are based on

• A) the framing effect.
• B) convergent thinking.
• C) divergent thinking.
• D) the representativeness heuristic.

---

Definitions:

Retro-

A prefix meaning "backwards" or "behind," used in various contexts including medical terminology to denote location or time.

Backward

Denotes a movement or action directed towards the rear or in reverse.

Ante-

A prefix meaning before or preceding in time or order.

Before

Prior to a certain time or event.