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Exhibit 8-1
USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S)

question 37

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Exhibit 8-1
USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S)
Assume that you are an analyst for the Canadian auto parts industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2010 EPS for the Canadian auto parts industry  Year 2009  Estimated Year 2010 Personal consumption expenditures $6,800billion Personal consumption expenditures growth 1.5%Industry Sales per share $525 Industry Operating profit margin 15%Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets 8.25% Industry Fixed asset turnover 3Interest rate 6%Industry Total asset turnover 1.2Industry Debt/Total assets 45% Industry Tax rate36%\begin{array}{lcc}& \text { Year 2009 } & \text { Estimated Year 2010} \\\hline \text { Personal consumption expenditures } & \$ 6,800 \text {billion } \\\text {Personal consumption expenditures growth } &&1.5 \%\\\text {Industry Sales per share } &\$ 525\\\text { Industry Operating profit margin } &&15 \% \\\text {Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets } &&8.25 \% \\\text { Industry Fixed asset turnover } &&3 \\\text {Interest rate } &&6 \% \\\text {Industry Total asset turnover } &&1.2 \\\text {Industry Debt/Total assets } &&45 \% \\\text { Industry Tax rate} &&36 \%\end{array}
In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is
%D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%D PCE)
-Refer to Exhibit 8-1. Estimate the industry sales per share for the year 2010.


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