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Exhibit 14-7
USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S) \quad

question 52

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Exhibit 14-7
USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S)
Black Gold Industries (BGI) is an independent oil producer with production capacity of 500,000 barrels per month. Due to the cost structure of the business, BGI needs to receive $56.50 per barrel in order to remain solvent. On the other side of this situation is Petrochemicals Unlimited (PU) which uses an average of 500,000 barrels of West Texas crude oil in its normal production operations. The nature of PU's business is such that they will financially suffer if they have to pay more than an average of $57.80 per barrel for oil over the next six years. To hedge against their exposure to volatile oil prices, BI and PU contact a swap dealer to arrange the six-year oil swap described below: - \quad Settlement is made monthly.
- The notional principal is for 500,000 barrels per month.
- The monthly WTI index value is determined as the average of the daily settlement prices for the crude oil futures contract traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) .
- The swap dealer pays BGI $57.00 \$ 57.00 per barrel.
- BGI pays the swap dealer the average NYMEX Oil futures price per barrel.
- \quad PU pays the swap dealer $57.50 \$ 57.50 per barrel.
- The swap dealer pays PU dealer the average NYMEX Oi futures price per barrel.
-Refer to Exhibit 14-7. Describe the transaction that occurs between PU and the swap dealer if the monthly average oil futures settlement price is $58.45.


Definitions:

Standard Deviation

A measure of the dispersion or spread of a set of data points relative to its mean, indicating how much the values in the data set vary from the average.

Normally Distributed

Describes a data set whose distribution forms a symmetric, bell-shaped curve around the mean.

Top 10%

A term used to denote the upper 10 percentile of a data set or distribution, representing values higher than 90% of the others.

Hypothesized Population Mean

A specific value that represents the average outcome we propose or expect for a population in hypothesis testing.

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