Analysis of data for an autoregressive forecasting model produced the following tables. 
The actual values of this time series,y,were 228,54,and 191 for May,June,and July,respectively. The predicted (forecast) value for August is __________.
Definitions:
Ecological Fallacy
The error in reasoning that occurs when incorrect conclusions about individual-level processes are drawn from group-level data.
Discrimination
Unjust or prejudicial treatment of different categories of people, especially on the grounds of race, age, or sex.
Stereotypes
Overgeneralized beliefs about a particular category of people, which can influence perceptions and behavior in a biased way.
Prejudice
Preconceived opinion or judgment without adequate information or experience, often leading to biased attitudes towards individuals or groups.
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