The Expected Return on a Stock Computed Using Economic Probabilities

question 26

Multiple Choice

The expected return on a stock computed using economic probabilities is:

• A) guaranteed to equal the actual average return on the stock for the next five years.
• B) guaranteed to be the minimal rate of return on the stock over the next two years.
• C) guaranteed to equal the actual return for the immediate twelve month period.
• D) a mathematical expectation based on a weighted average and not an actual anticipated outcome.
• E) the actual return you should anticipate as long as the economic forecast remains constant.

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Definitions:

NPV

Net Present Value, a calculation to determine the present value of future cash flows minus initial investment, used to assess the profitability of a project.

Market Efficiency

An economic theory that posits that it is impossible to "beat the market" because stock market efficiency causes existing share prices to always incorporate and reflect all relevant information.

Security Prices

The current market price or value of a financial security, such as stocks and bonds, determined by supply and demand.

Excess Returns

The return on an investment that exceeds the benchmark or risk-free return, reflecting the additional risk taken by the investor.