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One step to hypothesis testing is to set the criteria for a decision.
Illusory Correlation
The belief in a correlation between two factors even though such a connection does not truly exist.
Magical Thinking
The belief that one's thoughts, words, or actions can directly influence the physical world or the course of events in an irrational way.
First Instinct Fallacy
The mistaken belief that an individual's initial answer to a question is more likely to be correct than any answer they might change it to upon further consideration.
False Consensus Effect
The tendency to overestimate the extent to which others share one's beliefs, attitudes, or behaviors.
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