Suppose That in the Middle of January the Weather Is

question 43

Multiple Choice

Suppose that in the middle of January the weather is typically several degrees warmer than the rest of the month. Which of the following forecast methods would be used to predict this "January thaw" for the middle of January in the following year?

• A)climatological forecast
• B)persistence forecast
• C)probability forecast
• D)forecast based on the analogue method
• ​
• The following questions refer to the above illustration of a middle-latitude cyclone.The dashed lines show the positions of the fronts six hours ago.

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