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When a hurricane is bearing down on your city, you may find it tempting to ignore the advice of emergency personnel and ride out the storm in your own home. However, if you are in a hurricane's path and have been urged to evacuate, you should always make the choice to leave the area if you are able to do so. Hurricanes are powerful forces of nature with high winds and storm surges that quickly destroy property and sometimes kill thousands of people. You will risk the lives of yourself and your family members if you remain in your home despite orders to evacuate. Even if you do survive the storm and your home is left intact, the storm's damage to your community may create a new set of hardships that put your family's health and safety at risk. You may be without electricity or clean water for days. Stores may be closed, and you may be unable to obtain food or gasoline. Roads and bridges may be washed away, cutting you off from your sources of supplies. If you decide to stay in your home because you're worried about your deserted house being a target for thieves, remember that you can take many of your valuables with you when you go, and your remaining material possessions should be covered by your homeowners insurance plan. Don't ever risk your life to protect a bunch of things that are replaceable.
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Definitions:

Prediction Interval

An interval estimate of a real-valued observation based on a sample of data predicting where an individual measurement will fall.

Particular Value

A specific or distinct value within a set or range of data.

Simple Linear Regression

A statistical method for modeling the relationship between a single independent variable and a single dependent variable, assuming a linear relationship.

Residuals

The differences between observed values and the values predicted by a statistical model, indicating the model's accuracy.

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