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question 65

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Scenario: Health Costs
Alan is hoping for a healthy year, meaning that he would have zero health costs. Given his habits, there is a 40% chance that Alan will develop a health issue resulting in $50,000 in health costs. Assume these are the only two conditions that could exist for Alan in the coming year.
-(Scenario: Health Costs) Look at the scenario Health Costs. When Alan's probability of developing a health problem decreases, holding everything else constant, Alan's expected value of health care costs:


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