The Presidential Election Is Quickly Approaching

question 293

Multiple Choice

The Presidential election is quickly approaching.Prior to the election,the two major party candidates seem to be tied.After the winner is announced,Frances proclaims,"I knew he/she would win! He/She ran a great campaign." This is an example of

• A) hindsight bias.
• B) overconfidence.
• C) scientific inquiry.
• D) perceiving patterns in random events.

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Definitions:

Predictions

Statements about future events or conditions that are expected to happen based on current evidence or hypotheses.

Classical Conditioning

A learning process where a neutral stimulus becomes associated with a meaningful stimulus and acquires the capacity to elicit similar responses.

Rescorla

A psychologist notable for his work with Robert A. Wagner on a model of classical conditioning that emphasizes the importance of the cognitive aspect of learning.

Prediction

A statement about what will happen in the future based on current understanding or analysis.