Instruction 14-9
the Number of Cases of Merlot Wine Sold

question 130

Short Answer

Instruction 14-9
The number of cases of merlot wine sold by a Barossa Valley Winery in an 8-year period follows.
$$\begin{array} { c c } \text { Year }& \text { Cases of Wine } \\2003 & 270 \\2004& 356 \\2005 & 398 \\ 2006& 456 \\2007 & 358 \\2008 & 500 \\ 2009& 410 \\2010&376\\\end{array}$$
-Referring to Instruction 14-9,the Holt-Winters method for forecasting with smoothing constant of 0.8 for both level and trend will be used to forecast the wine sales.The forecast for 2011 is ________.

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Definitions:

Ineffective

Not producing the desired outcome or failing to achieve the intended result.

Aversive Qualities

Characteristics of a stimulus that are unpleasant or uncomfortable, which can lead to avoidance behavior.

Negative Contrast Effects

Negative contrast effects occur when a lesser stimulus reduces the response strength or preference for the more favorable stimulus that was previously established.