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Instruction 14-14
Business Closures in Perth from 2005 to 2010 200510200611200713200819200924201035\begin{array} { l l } 2005 & 10 \\2006 & 11 \\2007 & 13 \\2008 & 19 \\2009 & 24 \\2010 & 35\end{array}

question 162

Short Answer

Instruction 14-14
Business closures in Perth from 2005 to 2010 were:
200510200611200713200819200924201035\begin{array} { l l } 2005 & 10 \\2006 & 11 \\2007 & 13 \\2008 & 19 \\2009 & 24 \\2010 & 35\end{array}
Microsoft Excel was used to fit both first-order and second-order autoregressive models,resulting in the following partial outputs:
SUMMARY OUTPUT - 2nd Order Model
\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad Coefficients
 Intercept 5.77 X Variable 1 0.80 X Variable 2 1.14\begin{array} { l r } \text { Intercept } & - 5.77 \\ \text { X Variable 1 } & 0.80 \\ \text { X Variable 2 } & 1.14 \end{array}

SUMMARY OUTPUT - 1st 1 ^ { \text {st } } Order Model
\quad\quad\quad\quad Coefficients
Intercept 4.16\quad - 4.16
X Variable 11.591 \quad 1.59
-Referring to Instruction 14-14,the value of the MAD for the second-order autoregressive model is ________.


Definitions:

Quantifier

A symbol or word used in logic and mathematics to specify the quantity of subjects to which a statement applies.

Complete Proposition

A statement or assertion that conveys a complete thought or idea, typically containing a subject and predicate that make a declarative statement.

Shading

The act of adding gradations of darkness or color to an artwork to indicate shadow or depth.

Existential Import

The assumption within a proposition that something exists.

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