Philip Tetlock Recruited a Sample of 284 Experts with Strong

question 78

Multiple Choice

Philip Tetlock recruited a sample of 284 experts with strong credentials for making political predictions about certain countries or regions of the world.What did Tetlock discover?

• A)experts outperformed their lesser-known peers in making political predictions.
• B)experts did better in their areas of expertise than when they used their general knowledge to make predictions about other areas.
• C)experts' predictions about their areas of expertise did not exceed what would have been expected by chance.
• D)if individuals are certain that they are listening to an expert,they are confident that the information will be accurate.

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Definitions:

Nonprofit Organization

An entity whose primary objective is to support an issue or matter of private interest or public concern for non-commercial purposes, without the intent of making a profit.

Outside Legal Opinion

An assessment or advice given by an independent law firm or legal expert that is not affiliated with the organization seeking the opinion.

Expert

A person with extensive knowledge or ability based on research, experience, or occupation in a particular area of study.

Volunteer

A person who freely offers to undertake tasks, services, or efforts without expecting payment in return.