Suppose the Probability of a Major Earthquake on a Given

question 87

Multiple Choice

Suppose the probability of a major earthquake on a given day is 1 out of 10,000.Use the Poisson model to approximate the probability that there will be at least one major earthquake in the next 2000 days.

• A)0.1813
• B)0.1637
• C)0.8187
• D)0.8363
• E)0.0175

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Definitions:

Probability Density Function

A function that represents the probability of a random variable assuming a specific value.

Uniform Distribution

A type of probability distribution where all outcomes are equally likely; any one of several outcomes has an equal chance of occurring.

Random Variable

A variable that takes on a set of possible values, each with an associated probability, representing outcomes of a statistical experiment.

Probability

A measure quantifying the likelihood that an event will occur, expressed on a scale from 0 to 1.