Assume That the Probability That a Man Is Gay Is

question 4

Multiple Choice

Assume that the probability that a man is gay is about 50% if his identical twin is gay. Karl and Konrad are identical twins. However, each was adopted by a different family soon after birth. Karl is gay. What are the chances that Konrad is also gay?

• A) about 5%
• B) quite a bit lower than 50%
• C) somewhat lower than 50%
• D) approximately 50%

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Definitions:

Right

A moral or legal entitlement to have or do something; often considered fundamental and inherent.

Accident

A logical fallacy that occurs when an argument mistakenly applies a general rule to a specific case to which the rule does not appropriately apply.

Fallacy

A logical error or misleading argument often used in reasoning or debate.

Water

A transparent, tasteless, odorless, and nearly colorless chemical substance, which is the main constituent of Earth's hydrosphere and the fluids of all known living organisms.