Suppose That You Hear About a Friend Who Graduated from Your

question 14

Multiple Choice

Suppose that you hear about a friend who graduated from your college in performing arts.In addition,suppose that you judge that she is more likely to be selling insurance and active in community theater than she is to be selling insurance.You have committed

• A)the anchoring and adjustment heuristic.
• B)the crystal-ball technique.
• C)the belief-bias effect.
• D)the conjunction fallacy.

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Definitions:

Hypotheses

Proposed explanations or predictions for specific phenomena, typically based on limited evidence, to be tested through further investigation.

Tentative Explanations

Preliminary hypotheses or guesses made to explain a phenomenon, subject to further confirmation or refutation.

Scientifically Tested

The evaluation or investigation of a hypothesis, theory, or product through rigorous and controlled experiments to establish its validity or efficacy.

Theories

Systematically organized knowledge applicable in a relatively wide variety of circumstances, especially a system of assumptions, accepted principles, and rules of procedure to analyze, predict, or otherwise explain the nature or behavior of a specified set of phenomena.