If You Are Familiar with National Statistics Showing That 95

question 4

Multiple Choice

If you are familiar with national statistics showing that 95% of students with your qualifications eventually end up with a tenured position, but you still feel like your own chances of tenure are slim, which of the following might best describe your decision processes?

• A) Failure to adequately adjust from an initial anchor
• B) Ignoring base-rate information
• C) Conjunction fallacy
• D) None of the above

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Definitions:

Thoughts

mental processes involving thinking, reasoning, or contemplating, often reflecting personal beliefs, opinions, or plans.

Brainstorming

A group creativity technique by which efforts are made to find a solution for a specific problem by gathering a list of ideas spontaneously contributed by its members.

Topic Sentence

A topic sentence is the first sentence in a paragraph that introduces the main idea or point that will be discussed throughout the paragraph.

Thunderstorm

A storm characterized by the presence of lightning and thunder, often accompanied by heavy rain or hail.