The Alternatives 1 and 2 in the Following Payoff Table

question 7

Essay

The alternatives 1 and 2 in the following payoff table represent the two possible manufacturing strategies that the EKA manufacturing company can adopt.The level of demand affects the success of both strategies.The states of nature (S_I)represent the levels of demand for the company products.S₁,S₂ and S₃ characterize high,medium and low demand respectively.The payoff values are in thousands of dollars. The management believes that the weather conditions significantly affect the level of demand.48 monthly sales reports are randomly selected.These monthly sales reports showed 15 months with high demand,28 months with medium demand,and 5 months with low demand.12 of the 15 months with high demand had favorable weather conditions.14 of the 28 months with medium demand had favorable weather conditions.Only 1 of the 5 months with low demand had favorable weather conditions.
Construct the revised probability table for favorable weather conditions and find the probability of high demand given that the weather conditions are favorable.

---

Definitions:

Common Ancestor

The latest ancestor from whom all members of a specific group directly originate.

Allele Frequency

The proportion of a specific allele in the population. Compare with genotype frequency and phenotype frequency.

Genetic Equilibrium

The condition of a population that is not undergoing evolutionary change (i.e., in which allele and genotype frequencies do not change from one generation to the next). See Hardy–Weinberg Principle.

Allele Frequencies

The proportion of various alleles of a gene in a population, which can change over time due to evolutionary pressures, genetic drift, mutation, and gene flow.