The Alternatives 1 and 2 in the Following Payoff Table

question 32

Essay

The alternatives 1 and 2 in the following payoff table represent the two possible manufacturing strategies that the EKA manufacturing company can adopt.The level of demand affects the success of both strategies.The states of nature (S_I)represent the levels of demand for the company products.S₁,S₂ and S₃ characterize high,medium and low demand respectively.The payoff values are in thousands of dollars. The management believes that the weather conditions significantly affect the level of demand.48 monthly sales reports are randomly selected.These monthly sales reports showed 15 months with high demand,28 months with medium demand,and 5 months with low demand.12 of the 15 months with high demand had favorable weather conditions.14 of the 28 months with medium demand had favorable weather conditions.Only 1 of the 5 months with low demand had favorable weather conditions.
Construct the revised probability table for poor weather conditions and find the probability of high demand given that the weather conditions are poor.

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Definitions:

Destructive Image

A perception or portrayal that undermines or negatively impacts an individual, group, or concept.

Misperception and Bias

Distorted interpretations or prejudiced views that affect understanding or decision-making, often leading to unfair judgments or stereotypes.

Dual Concerns Model

A model in conflict resolution theory that maps the concern people have for their own outcomes with their concern for the outcomes of others.

Cooperativeness Dimension

An aspect of behavior indicative of a person's willingness to work with others towards achieving a common goal.