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A Pharmaceutical Company Manufacturing Pregnancy Test Kits Wants to Determine

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Essay

A pharmaceutical company manufacturing pregnancy test kits wants to determine the probability of a woman not being pregnant when the test results indicate pregnancy.It is estimated that the probability of pregnancy among potential users of the kit is 10%.According to the company laboratory test results,1 out of 100 non-pregnant women tested pregnant (false positive).On the other hand,1 out of 200 pregnant women tested non-pregnant (false negative).A woman has just used the pregnancy test kit manufactured by the company and the results showed pregnancy.What is the probability that she is not pregnant?

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Definitions:

Forced Distribution

A performance management system where employees are ranked in accordance with a pre-determined distribution curve.

Multiple Rater System

A feedback system typically used in performance assessments where several evaluators provide input on an individual's performance.

Effective Appraisal

The process of evaluating an employee's job performance in a constructive manner, aiming to encourage professional growth and improve future performance.

Performance Evaluation

The systematic assessment of an employee's job performance, strengths, and areas for improvement, typically conducted on a regular basis by their supervisor.

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