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Based on the Following Data,a Forecaster Used Simple Exponential Smoothing

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Essay

Based on the following data,a forecaster used simple exponential smoothing and determined the following: S0 = 19,S1 = 18.6,S2 = 19.08,S3 = 19.064,S4 = 19.851,and S5 = 19.481. Based on the following data,a forecaster used simple exponential smoothing and determined the following: S<sub>0</sub> = 19,S<sub>1</sub> = 18.6,S<sub>2</sub> = 19.08,S<sub>3</sub> = 19.064,S<sub>4</sub> = 19.851,and S<sub>5</sub> = 19.481.   Calculate the average forecast error. Calculate the average forecast error.

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Definitions:

Expected Rate

The anticipated rate of return on an investment, factoring in known variables and risk assessments.

Capital Market Line

A line in the risk-return space representing the risk-return combination available to investors from a risk-free asset and market portfolio of risky assets.

Risk-Free Rate

The theoretical rate of return of an investment with zero risk, often represented by the yield on government bonds.

Standard Deviation

Square root of the variance.

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