An Analyst Expects That 10 Percent of All Publicly Traded

question 62

Multiple Choice

An analyst expects that 10 percent of all publicly traded companies will experience a decline in earnings next year.The analyst has developed a ratio to help forecast this decline.If the company is headed for a decline,there is a 70% chance that this ratio will be negative.If the company is not headed for a decline,there is only a 20% chance that the ratio will be negative.The analyst randomly selects a company and its ratio is negative.Based on Bayes' theorem,the posterior probability that the company will experience a decline is ____.

• A)3%
• B)7%
• C)18%
• D)28%

---

Definitions:

Action Verbs

Verbs that express specific actions, and are used especially in resumes and writing to give a sense of dynamic performance.

Resume

A document presenting an individual's background, skills, and accomplishments, often used for job applications.

Organized

Characterized by a systematized and structured arrangement or approach, facilitating efficiency and orderliness.

Cardiac Stimulant

A cardiac stimulant is any substance that increases heart rate and cardiac output, which can be used in the treatment of various heart conditions.