Exhibit 4-4

question 31

Short Answer

Exhibit 4-4.An investor is keeping a careful eye on the real estate markets in Las Vegas and the Inland Empire.The following are her predictions for the real estate market in 2012.
• With 0.32 probability,foreclosures will increase in Las Vegas.
• With 0.46 probability,foreclosures will increase in Las Vegas or the Inland Empire.
• With 0.27 probability,foreclosures will increase in Las Vegas and the Inland Empire.
Refer to Exhibit 4-4.What is the probability that foreclosures will increase in the Inland Empire?

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Definitions:

Alexander Hamilton

A founding father of the United States, first Secretary of the Treasury, and key author of the Federalist Papers, instrumental in creating the nation's financial system.

Life Terms

Durations of appointment, often used in the context of judicial or governmental positions, that extend for the incumbent's lifetime unless resigned, retired, or impeached.

Rhode Island

The smallest U.S. state by area, known for its Sandy shores and seaside Colonial towns. It was also the first of the thirteen original colonies to declare independence from British rule.

Constitutional Convention

The 1787 meeting in Philadelphia where delegates drafted the U.S. Constitution to replace the ineffective Articles of Confederation.